Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Matchup Preview - March 30th, 2023

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Zac Gallen has been given more leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, throwing 5.9 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starting pitcher.

• Alek Thomas has been unlucky with his batting average this year; his .231 BA is quite a bit lower than his .272 Expected Batting Average (based on The Sharp Model X's interpretation of Statcast data).

• Projected catcher Gabriel Moreno profiles as a weak pitch framer, according to The Sharp Model projection system.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Julio Urias has been lucky with his ERA this year; his 2.21 figure is quite a bit lower than his 3.80 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

• Max Muncy's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (25.1°) is quite a bit better than his 19.7° mark last season.

• The Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen projects as the 6th-best in Major League Baseball, per The Sharp Model.

Betting Trends

• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 63 of their last 103 games (+20.20 Units / 16% ROI)

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 62 of their last 92 games (+34.95 Units / 34% ROI)

• Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 100% ROI)