Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants Matchup Preview - August 17th, 2022

Editor
The Arizona Diamondbacks (53-63) will battle the San Francisco Giants (59-57) on Wednesday night. Oddsmakers peg the Giants as the favorite with an implied win probablity of 66%, leaving the D-Backs with a 34% chance to record a win. Based on the current odds the D-Backs have an implied team total of 2.88 compared to 4.12 for the Giants.
Arizona Diamondbacks Insights
Zach Davies's fastball velocity has jumped 1.3 mph this year (88.7 mph) over where it was last year (87.4 mph).
Carson Kelly is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of San Francisco (#1-worst on the slate).
The Arizona Diamondbacks bullpen profiles as the 5th-worst in MLB, according to THE BAT.
San Francisco Giants Insights
Carlos Rodon has been given a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing 7.0 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starter.
LaMonte Wade Jr. has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (73% of the time), but he is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.
Austin Slater has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.
Betting Trends
The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 55 of their last 109 games (+9.20 Units / 8% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Run Line in 58 of their last 99 games (+15.50 Units / 12% ROI)
Jake McCarthy has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+8.90 Units / 32% ROI)
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