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Anthony P's CFL Model July 9, 2023

Anthony P
Anthony P
We will add new sports and models as we build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

This betting model is derived directly from a source that provides me with all the information for the Sharp Report which I trust implicitly. This model serves as a foundation for determining and handling game lines and totals. As with any model, it incorporates a statistical analysis of both teams, including factors such as injuries and home-field advantage. The distinctive advantage of this model is the inclusion of adjustments based on public perception and early market evaluation. However, it's important to note that this model doesn't accommodate last-minute adjustments. Therefore, for the most accurate and up-to-date advice, I encourage you to reach out to me directly on my Discord channel.


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CFL BETTING MODEL FOR JULY 9, 2023


The model sure hit the nail on the head with the Tiger-Cats game yesterday. The really intriguing part? The game was actually pegged at +1 merely 20 minutes before the whistle blew. Sharp money didn't exactly flood this game at the book, but the line movement definitely suggests a wave of cash poured in on Ottawa in the final hour and a half before kickoff. And the Cats took it home with an 8-point win.

The Alouettes have been road warriors, notching a 25-11 Against the Spread (ATS) record in their last 36 away games, but their July form leaves much to be desired with a 1-4 ATS record. The Lions, on the other hand, have been impeccable at home, flaunting a 4-0 ATS record in their last four home outings, but just like the Alouettes, they also hold a sketchy 1-7 ATS record in July.

Paper-wise, the BC Lions appear to have the upper hand, and being on home turf sure doesn't hurt their chances. Hence, the line makes sense but there is no value behind it. But let's not ignore the fact that the Lions have had a pretty comfortable ride up to this point and their offense seems to have a knack for turnovers. The Montreal Alouettes, though only three games deep, have held their ground quite firmly, showcasing a defense that ranks first in scoring and second in both total and passing defense. And hey, getting a free touchdown in this game? That's just the cherry on top. I would take the points in this game but I don't feel strong enough to make it a lean. This is a good test for both teams.


MODEL Bets:

Anthony's leans:

Good luck


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