Anthony P's CFL Model July 6, 2023

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This betting model is derived directly from a source that provides me with all the information for the Sharp Report which I trust implicitly. This model serves as a foundation for determining and handling game lines and totals. As with any model, it incorporates a statistical analysis of both teams, including factors such as injuries and home-field advantage. The distinctive advantage of this model is the inclusion of adjustments based on public perception and early market evaluation. However, it's important to note that this model doesn't accommodate last-minute adjustments. Therefore, for the most accurate and up-to-date advice, I encourage you to reach out to me directly on my Discord channel.

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CFL BETTING MODEL FOR JULY 6, 2023

Our assessment of the Argos in the previous write-up was spot on. They emerged victorious, even as they entered the game as 3.5-point underdogs.

There's potential value on the 'over' in tonight's matchup, and I'll be delving into the details of the game soon. Stay tuned for an update within the hour.

Tomorrow night's game throws the spotlight onto the total score. According to the bookmaker's raw projections, we're looking at a total of 45.85, a significant leap from the posted number of 42.5. Interestingly, some markets are pushing this figure up to 43 and 43.5 even though the betting volume remains balanced.

We've got the Edmonton Elks, still searching for their inaugural win of the season, heading into a clash with the Saskatchewan Roughriders. The Elks are struggling, dropping to 0-4 following their 26-7 defeat to the Ottawa Redblacks last week. The offensive production was pretty dismal; a mere 56 yards on the ground and 222 yards via air. Save for the 31 points they amassed against Toronto, their average points per game barely touches 7 in the remaining three matches. The Elks are experiencing a 5-game dry spell ATS and the under has prevailed in four of their last five. Yet, we see a contrasting trend for the Roughriders, with the over taking the cake in 11 of their previous 16 games post a bye.

The Elks have had a torrid start to the season, suffering losses in each of their four outings and failing to cover the spread in all. They're battling defensive woes, with an average allowance of 402.0 yards and 28.0 points per game. Meanwhile, the Roughriders, led by quarterback Trevor Harris, are likely to make repeated incursions into Elks territory, potentially cruising to an easy win and cover.

Their offensive prowess doesn't concern me, but Edmonton does. In their recent game on June 11, they fell short by 15 points on the game total with a final tally of 17-13. They've been hemorrhaging an average of 30 points per game ever since. It's clear Saskatchewan can eclipse the 30-point mark at home, but it seems we're banking heavily on them to pull the majority of the weight in the scoring department. As for Edmonton, unless Lady Luck decides to grace them with generous turnovers, I don't see them contributing much to the scoreline.

MODEL Bets: Over 43

Anthony's leans:


Good luck

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