Anthony P's CFL Model July 21, 2023

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This betting model is derived directly from a source that provides me with all the information for the Sharp Report which I trust implicitly. This model serves as a foundation for determining and handling game lines and totals. As with any model, it incorporates a statistical analysis of both teams, including factors such as injuries and home-field advantage. The distinctive advantage of this model is the inclusion of adjustments based on public perception and early market evaluation. However, it's important to note that this model doesn't accommodate last-minute adjustments. Therefore, for the most accurate and up-to-date advice, I encourage you to reach out to me directly on my Discord channel.

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CFL BETTING MODEL FOR JULY 21, 2023

I'll admit, I didn't have the guts to back Edmonton with the points yesterday, but that would've been the move, even if it would've given you a bit of indigestion watching the game.

Three days ago, when I dished out the CFL model for Week 7, I gave our subscribers a heads up that the Argos line was on an upward trajectory, and sure enough, it climbed. There was no immediate call to action, but being able to read the market and predict its shifts is a pretty nifty skill to have in your betting toolkit. Market makers set the opening line right on their raw projection of -7, and a hefty chunk of money on the Argos, backed by 80% of the handle, nudged the book to bump the line to -7.5, -8, -8.5, and finally to -9.5. The handle's now split 50/50, and the book's pretty pleased with the outcome.

The Toronto Argonauts are cruising with a 4-0 overall record and a 2-0 record on the road. The Argos haven't tasted regular-season defeat since October of last year. The Hamilton Tiger-Cats are hunting for a third consecutive win to hit a .500 record for the first time. The Argos are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games and 15-5-2 ATS in their last 22 games overall. The Tiger-Cats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 July games.

The Toronto Argonauts are making a strong case for being the top team in the league, so it's no shocker they're hefty favorites on the road. The Argos also torched the Tiger-Cats back in week 2. But the Hamilton Tiger-Cats have been finding their groove over the last two weeks, particularly on offense. Hamilton's racked up a total of 58 points in its last two games. This is a make-or-break game for the Tiger-Cats at home. With the line movement, the Cats are a model play, and if this line shifts to +10, I'd consider a small wager on them.

MODEL Bets: Hamilton +9.5

Anthony's leans: Hamilton +10 if it gets there

Good luck

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