Anthony P's CFL Model July 20, 2023

We will add new sports and models as we build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

This betting model is derived directly from a source that provides me with all the information for the Sharp Report which I trust implicitly. This model serves as a foundation for determining and handling game lines and totals. As with any model, it incorporates a statistical analysis of both teams, including factors such as injuries and home-field advantage. The distinctive advantage of this model is the inclusion of adjustments based on public perception and early market evaluation. However, it's important to note that this model doesn't accommodate last-minute adjustments. Therefore, for the most accurate and up-to-date advice, I encourage you to reach out to me directly on my Discord channel.

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CFL BETTING MODEL FOR JULY 20, 2023

Let's talk about our last model play, which was on Ottawa at +9.5. They pulled off an OT win, and I bet a bunch of you swore off betting on the CFL after that nail-biter. And honestly, I can't blame you. We all know Edmonton's track record is less than stellar. They've now etched their name in the record books with the most consecutive home losses in any professional league.

The book's raw projection for this game is -14, but the market makers kicked things off between -15.5 and -16.5, steering clear of that key number 14. This game hasn't seen much action at the book (less than 5k), but the handle and tickets are all leaning towards Winnipeg. Despite that, the line has shifted down from -16.5 to -14.5. The Elks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against the West and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Blue Bombers, on the other hand, are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 home games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 July games.

The Edmonton Elks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games and have been struggling on both sides of the ball. The Winnipeg Blue Bombers are in the running for the title and haven't suffered back-to-back losses since November 2021, so it's no surprise this line is what it is. But, let's be real, this is a hefty spread, and the Elks have kept 3 of their 6 losses to single digits. Winnipeg has fallen short of covering 4 of its last 7 games as a double-digit favorite, and 2 of those failed covers were outright losses. The Blue Bombers also have a bye week on the horizon, so there might be a bit of forward-looking going on.


MODEL Bets: none

Anthony's leans: none

Good luck

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