Anthony P's CFL Model Aug 27, 2023

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This betting model is derived directly from a source that provides me with all the information for the Sharp Report which I trust implicitly. This model serves as a foundation for determining and handling game lines and totals. As with any model, it incorporates a statistical analysis of both teams, including factors such as injuries and home-field advantage. The distinctive advantage of this model is the inclusion of adjustments based on public perception and early market evaluation. However, it's important to note that this model doesn't accommodate last-minute adjustments. Therefore, for the most accurate and up-to-date advice, I encourage you to reach out to me directly on my Discord channel.

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CFL BETTING MODEL FOR AUG 27, 2023

When it comes to the Elks, there's a pattern that's hard to ignore. The Elks are a dismal 18-40 against the spread (ATS) in their last 58 home games. This is a staggering statistic that cannot be overlooked, especially when considering placing a bet on their next home game.

But the Elks' woes don't end there. Their recent performance following a win, both straight up and against the spread, leaves much to be desired. They are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games following an ATS win and 5-16 ATS after a straight-up win. These numbers paint a picture of inconsistency and an inability to maintain momentum. Sadly, last week was their first win in god knows when.

Enter the Ottawa Redblacks. While it's fair to say that neither of these teams will be taking home any 'Team of the Year' awards, the value on Ottawa in this matchup is becoming increasingly clear. Stevens, Coleman, and Harris, all listed as probable give me more confidence in backing Ottawa.

It's not just about the players on the field, though. The strategic aspect of the game will be crucial. The Redblacks have an opportunity to stop the Elks' most glaring strength: their running game. If Ottawa can stifle the Elks on the ground, it will force Edmonton to take to the air. This is a scenario the Redblacks would welcome, given that the Elks rank as the second-worst passing team in the league.

Furthermore, the turnover ratio presents another intriguing facet to this matchup. Turnovers can swing the momentum of a game in an instant, and the gap between these two teams in this department is noteworthy.

In conclusion, while both teams have had their struggles this season, the trends and potential strategies point towards a favorable outcome for the Ottawa Redblacks. For those looking to place a bet on this game, it might be wise to consider these factors and perhaps lean towards Ottawa.

Model play:
Anthony's Play: Ottawa +1

Good luck

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