Val's Australian Open Plays - Round 4 (Day 2)


We had a rough go at it yesterday at 2-4 and were so close too hitting our 2 plus money plays, Hurkacz lost a 5 set marathon in a last set tiebraker and Swiatek was up a break and poised to force a third set before unravelling late and losing in straight sets.

Record 13-11 -7.98 units

Best bets

Roberto Bautista Agut even (Start time apx 1210 EST)

Spain's Roberto Bautista Agut faces American Tommy Paul in a quarterfinal matchup. In my opinion RBA is another player that doesn't get enough respect for the amount of success he's accomplished on tour mainly due to being in the shadow of his fellow Spaniard R. Nadal. Apart from the age of both players RBA (34) and T. Paul (25) when you compare the pedigree of both players, RBA should be favored in my opinion, they've faced each other on 4 occasions in the past once on a hard court and RBA won that match comfortably in 2021 6-3 6-4 in the 2nd round of the Rogers Cup. T. Paul was able to take advantage of an unfit J. Brooksby last round to win in straight sets, however, he will not have that luxury tonight. I will back RBA to make it to the semi finals.

Risk 2 units for 2 units

Karolina Pliskova/Shuai Zhang O2.5 sets +145 (Start time apx 9pm EST)

Karolina Pliskova and Shuai Zhang face each other in the fourth round of the women's draw. These two players have faced each other on several occasions in the past, 7 to be exact and to say that Pliskova has dominated is an understatement, she's won all 7 meetings. However, you must take a deeper look at the results to see that Zhang has not made life easy for Pliskova. Of the 5 meetings on hard court the last 3 have always gone to a third and decisive set. Both players have played extremely well through the first three rounds without really being tested by their opponents, but I like this to be another match that will go to a decisive third set, especially at such a nice price.

Risk 2 units for 2.90 units

Additional plays

L. Fruhvirtova +210 risk .50 units (Start time apx 8:30pm EST)

A. Sabalenka/B. Bencic O2.5 sets +128 risk .50 units (Start time apx 8:30pm EST)

A. Rubles/H. Rune O40.5 games -109 risk .50 units (Start time apx 10:30pm EST)

GL tonight

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