Overnight Grind : Market Makers VS Sharps September 26 2022

Market Makers are sportsbooks that are the first to post a line and set the market. They will control risk by lowering their bet limits when posting a spread or Moneyline before everyone else. Once the market adjusted, they max their bet limits. Talbot has been hot and won his last 8 starts but don't discount Jarry he's been solid this year.

RECAP: No recap for yesterday since we didn't have an article. I hope you tailed my 5 dime pick on the under in SNF!

We look for sharps to be much more active in MLB now that the NHL and NBA seasons are over however this is not the sport that sharps are the most excited about since market makers tend to have very low max limits early on most of the games due to many variables in MLB. Weather is one of them and probably the most important.

For VIPs, your best start would be to look at the morning sharp report, which will give you an excellent summary of what happened overnight. In the afternoon, the sharp report updates and games might be added or removed based on what happened in the morning. The last update is around 4-5 pm EST and not much movement is expected after that. If there is movement, it will usually be square money loading up on games before they start.

Another tool that can be used with the sharp report is the MLB model on our website. Comparing the sharp money with our projection can help you make your own picks if both the model and sharp agree.

The format of this article will be changed once we will have multiple sports running every day and the focus will go back to looking at lines that moved the most overnight.

It's a very quiet day for us. We have 4 baseball games and MNF football. Around 2 pm I will be posting my article (The Bottom Line) for MNF.

In the meantime let's see what the sharps have done overnight and this morning.

The Pirates are getting some traction this morning moving 11 pts from -130 to -141. The Reds have been terrible at the plate but the Pirates haven't been that much better.

The total dropped from 8 to 7.5 in Toronto between Severino and Gausman. The drop is more significant than it looks like since it opened at 8u -115 and it's now at 7.5u -120. I doubt it will drop more but it's possible we will see a 7 at some books. The under is the target play in Toronto.

Baltimore who is still in the mix of a potential playoff spot is facing a bad pitcher in Seabold in Boston. Money is on Baltimore and books moved the line from +125 to +112. Money, tickets, and squares are all on Baltimore.

The chuchu train is out on the Cowboys tonight. I will get into details in the bottom line article however for now I can confirm sharp money did push this line down from +4.5 on the 16th to +1 on the 21st. It's been steady since then and the handle dropped from 90% on the Dallas to 60%.

Good luck today

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