Titans vs Dolphins Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - December 11th, 2023
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The Tennessee Titans (4-8) are set to face off against the Miami Dolphins (9-3) in an exciting NFL matchup. The game is scheduled to kick off at 8:15 PM ET at the Hard Rock Stadium, the home stadium of the Dolphins.
The Dolphins have been having a fantastic season so far, with a record of 9-3. They have exceeded expectations and currently hold an undefeated home record, winning five consecutive games at Hard Rock Stadium.
In their last game, the Titans suffered a close defeat against the Indianapolis Colts, with a final score of 31-28. Meanwhile, the Dolphins dominated the Washington Commanders, winning with a commanding score of 45-15.
It's worth noting that the last time these two teams faced each other was in Week 17 of the 2021 season. In that game, the Titans secured a convincing road victory, defeating the Dolphins by a score of 34-3.
Considering the odds, the Dolphins are heavily favored at home, with a spread of -14.0. The moneyline for the Dolphins is -850, indicating a high probability of them winning the game. The Titans, on the other hand, are seen as significant underdogs, with a moneyline of +620 and an implied win probability of just 13%.
Overall, this matchup presents an intriguing contrast between a high-performing Dolphins team playing at home and a struggling Titans team seeking a road win. Football fans and sports bettors alike will be eagerly watching to see how this game unfolds.
Titans Insights
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are projected by our trusted projection set to call only 63.5 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.
After totaling 111.0 air yards per game last year, DeAndre Hopkins has posted big gains this year, now boasting 120.0 per game.
In this game, DeAndre Hopkins is projected by the model to position himself in the 88th percentile when it comes to WR with 0.41 receiving touchdowns.
Dolphins Insights
The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Tennessee's group of LBs has been very good this year, ranking as the 8th-best in the NFL.
This year, the fierce Titans defense has given up the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing squads: a feeble 4.3 YAC.
Betting Trends
The Tennessee Titans have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Nick Westbrook has hit the Longest Reception Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 61% ROI)
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