Texans vs Titans Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - December 17th, 2023

a year ago

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In a highly anticipated matchup, the Houston Texans will take on the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium. As divisional foes, both teams will be motivated to secure a victory and gain an edge in the standings.

The Texans have exceeded expectations this season with a record of 7-6. They have been playing solid football, winning six of their last ten games. However, their last game resulted in a disappointing loss against the New York Jets, where they were favored to win by three points with a 61% chance of victory.

On the other hand, the Titans have struggled recently with a record of 5-8, losing six of their last ten games. They managed to secure a win in their last game against the Miami Dolphins, despite being 13.5-point underdogs with only a 14% chance of winning.

The last time these two teams met was in Week 16 of the 2022 season, where the Texans emerged victorious with a 19-14 road win. The game was closely contested, coming down to a single touchdown.

As the home team, the Titans are slight favorites according to the odds, with a 61% chance of winning compared to the Texans' 39% chance. The spread initially opened with the Titans favored by one point but has since moved to Titans -3, making it the second-largest line move on the slate.

Overall, this divisional clash between the Texans and the Titans is set to be an exciting game with playoff implications. Both teams will be looking to secure a crucial victory and gain an advantage in the standings. Fans and bettors alike can expect an intense battle on the field at Nissan Stadium on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

Texans Insights

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Texans to run on 44.8% of their opportunities: the 8th-highest rate on the slate this week.
Brevin Jordan's pass-catching effectiveness has improved this year, totaling 11.43 adjusted yards-per-target vs a measly 4.22 figure last year.
In this week's game, Dalton Schultz is forecasted by the model to find himself in the 81st percentile when it comes to tight ends with 0.19 receiving TDs.

Titans Insights

While Will Levis has received 6.2% of his offense's carries in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of Tennessee's rushing attack in this game at 11.5%.
DeAndre Hopkins has notched quite a few more air yards this year (124.0 per game) than he did last year (111.0 per game).
The Texans pass defense has performed very well when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.22 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-fewest in football.