Panthers vs Saints Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - December 10th, 2023

a year ago

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In a Sunday afternoon game, the Carolina Panthers (1-11) will face off against the New Orleans Saints (5-7) at the Caesars Superdome, the home stadium of the Saints. This matchup is a battle between divisional rivals, adding an extra layer of significance to the game as both teams will be motivated to secure the win.

The Panthers have had a tough season so far, with a record of 1-11. They have struggled to meet expectations and are currently on a five-game losing streak. Their road record is particularly concerning, as they have lost all seven of their away games this season. On the other hand, the Saints have a slightly better record of 5-7, but they have also been on a three-game losing streak.

In their most recent outing, the Panthers suffered a 21-18 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Meanwhile, the Saints fell to the Detroit Lions with a score of 33-28. The last time these two teams met was in Week 2 of 2023, where the Panthers pulled off an upset at home, defeating the Saints 20-17.

Considering the current form and overall performance this season, the Saints are the favorites in this matchup. They have a home advantage and a record of 2-3 at the Caesars Superdome. The Panthers, on the other hand, are considered the underdogs on the road.

The point spread for this game opened at Saints -5.5 and has remained there after bettors' actions. The Moneyline odds favor the Saints at -245, indicating a higher probability of them winning. The Panthers, with odds of +205, have a lower implied win probability of 32%.

It will be interesting to see how these division rivals perform in this game. The Panthers will be looking to break their losing streak and prove themselves against the Saints, while the Saints aim to bounce back from their recent losses. The matchup promises to be a compelling battle between these two teams in their quest for victory.

Panthers Insights

While Miles Sanders has accounted for 39.0% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Carolina's run game in this game at 24.4%.
Stephen Sullivan has compiled quite a few more air yards this season (16.0 per game) than he did last season (6.0 per game).
The Saints defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.23 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 10th-most in football.

Saints Insights

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the model to see 134.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
The Panthers linebackers project as the 4th-best unit in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.
In logging a miserable rate of 3.56 adjusted yards per carry this year, the 7th-worst rushing attack in the league on a rate basis has been the New Orleans Saints.

Betting Trends

The New Orleans Saints have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games (+2.35 Units / 11% ROI)
The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 20 games (+0.80 Units / 4% ROI)
Juwan Johnson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 13 games (+4.90 Units / 37% ROI)