Packers vs Giants Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - December 11th, 2023

a year ago

Editor

The Packers will have an extra day of rest this week, which can provide them with more time to prepare and recover for the game. The Giants, on the other hand, are coming off a bye week and will have had 15 days of rest since their last game, giving them additional time to gameplan for their opponent.

The Giants have had a tough season with a record of 4-8, while the Packers have had an average season at 6-6. The Packers come into this game with the momentum of three consecutive wins, while the Giants have struggled, losing seven of their last ten games.

In their previous game, the Packers secured an upset victory over the Kansas City Chiefs with a score of 27-19. Despite being 6.0 underdogs, the Packers defied the odds and emerged victorious, with a win probability of just 30%.

The last time these two teams faced each other was in Week 5 of the 2022 season, where the Giants claimed a home victory with a final score of 27-22. The Giants will be looking to replicate that success in this matchup.

Interestingly, even though the Packers are playing on the road, they are favored to win this game. The current spread stands at Packers -6.0, indicating that the betting community believes the Packers will win by at least six points. The Moneyline for the Packers is -265, suggesting a 70% implied win probability, while the Giants have a Moneyline of +225, giving them a 30% implied win probability.

As the game approaches, football fans and bettors alike will be eagerly anticipating this matchup between the Packers and the Giants. Will the Packers continue their winning streak, or can the Giants pull off an upset? Only time will tell.

Packers Insights

The model projects A.J. Dillon to be a less important option in his team's rushing attack in this game (36.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (52.5% in games he has played).
After totaling 48.0 air yards per game last year, Romeo Doubs has undergone big improvement this year, currently sitting at 77.0 per game.
This year, the strong Giants pass defense has given up the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing running backs: a puny 4.9 YAC.

Giants Insights

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the projections to see 129.8 plays on offense called: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
As it relates to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Green Bay's collection of DEs has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 6th-best in football.
In posting a paltry rate of 187.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year, the worst passing offense in the NFL has been the New York Giants.

Betting Trends

The New York Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 22 games (+1.00 Units / 4% ROI)
The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+1.95 Units / 22% ROI)
Romeo Doubs has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 44% ROI)