Jaguars vs Browns Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - December 10th, 2023
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The Jaguars will have one less day of rest this week, which may impact their preparation and recovery for the game. In contrast, the Browns will be playing on normal rest, giving them a potential advantage with their well-rested players.
Both teams have had solid seasons so far. The Browns currently hold a 7-5 record, indicating an above-average performance, while the Jaguars boast an 8-4 record, showcasing a strong season.
The Jaguars have been on a roll when playing on the road, winning their last five consecutive away games. This trend is impressive, as winning on the road can be challenging. If the Jaguars can continue their road success, there might be a narrative worth exploring.
On the other hand, the Browns have been dominant at home, winning their last three consecutive home games. Their recent success at FirstEnergy Stadium could provide them with a boost of confidence in this matchup.
In their previous games, the Jaguars suffered a close 34-31 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals, while the Browns fell to the Los Angeles Rams with a score of 36-19. Both teams will be seeking redemption and a victory in this upcoming clash.
The last time these two teams met was in Week 12 of the 2020 season, where the Browns secured a home win, outscoring the Jaguars 27-25. This previous matchup adds an element of anticipation to Sunday's game, as both teams look to build upon their previous encounters.
According to the odds, the Browns are the slight favorite at home, with a spread of -1.5. The Jaguars, as the visiting team, are considered the slight underdogs, with a spread of +1.5. The Moneyline for the Browns is -125, while the Jaguars' Moneyline stands at +105.
Based on the odds, the Browns have an implied win probability of 53%, while the Jaguars have a 47% chance of emerging victorious. These numbers indicate a closely contested game where both teams have a legitimate shot at securing the win.
As the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Cleveland Browns take the field on Sunday, football fans can anticipate an intense battle between two teams striving to add another victory to their season records.
Jaguars Insights
Right now, the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (63.4% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Zay Jones has compiled far fewer air yards this year (50.0 per game) than he did last year (63.0 per game).
Browns Insights
While Joe Flacco has earned 1.7% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of Cleveland's ground game in this week's contest at 6.9%.
When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Jacksonville's unit has been outstanding this year, ranking as the 6th-best in the NFL.
In this week's game, David Njoku is projected by the projection model to land in the 92nd percentile among tight ends with 0.29 receiving touchdowns.
Betting Trends
The Cleveland Browns have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+5.65 Units / 30% ROI)
The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 away games (+10.35 Units / 74% ROI)
Amari Cooper has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 63% ROI)
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