Giants vs Saints Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - December 17th, 2023

a year ago

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In a highly anticipated matchup, the New York Giants will take on the New Orleans Saints at Caesars Superdome, the home stadium of the Saints. The game is scheduled for Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

The Giants come into this game with a record of 5-8 this season, riding a three-game winning streak. Their recent victories have showcased their resilience and determination on the field. On the other hand, the Saints have had a comparatively challenging season, with a record of 6-7 and losing three of their last four games.

The last time these two teams faced each other was in Week 4 of the 2021 season, resulting in a thrilling road win for the Giants. The game ended with a close score of 27-21, highlighting the competitive nature of their matchup.

The Giants' last game was a significant upset, as they defeated the Green Bay Packers with a score of 24-22. Despite being considered underdogs with only a 32% chance of winning and a 5.5 point spread against them, the Giants proved that they are a force to be reckoned with.

In contrast, the Saints' last game resulted in a convincing victory against the Carolina Panthers, with a score of 28-6. This win provided a much-needed boost for the team, as they look to bounce back from their recent struggles.

Heading into this game, the Saints are favored, with the odds suggesting a 69% chance of winning, while the Giants have a 31% chance. The spread initially opened with the Saints favored by 6 points, but it has since moved to 5.5 points, indicating a relatively small shift in expectations.

With the Giants riding the momentum of their three-game winning streak and the Saints looking to regain their form, this game promises to be an intriguing battle. Football fans can expect an exciting showdown as both teams vie for a crucial victory.

Giants Insights

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, New Orleans's group of LBs has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
This year, the porous Saints defense has conceded the 9th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing squads: a massive 5.16 YAC.

Saints Insights

While Lynn Bowden has been responsible for 2.1% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in New Orleans's pass game in this game at 9.8%.
Derek Carr's 64.7% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a material improvement in his passing accuracy over last year's 61.4% mark.
In logging a miserable rate of 6.5 adjusted yards per target this year, the 9th-worst passing team in the league in this respect has been the New Orleans Saints.

Betting Trends

The New Orleans Saints have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 20 games (+1.30 Units / 6% ROI)
The New York Giants have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 22 games (+0.40 Units / 2% ROI)