Commanders vs Rams Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - December 17th, 2023

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The Washington Commanders are set to take on the Los Angeles Rams in an exciting matchup at SoFi Stadium, the home of the Rams. The game is scheduled to kick off on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

The Commanders are coming off a bye week, which means they have had 14 days of rest and extra time to prepare for their next opponent. This could give them an advantage as they have had more time to gameplan. On the other hand, the Rams will be playing on normal rest, which may put them at a slight disadvantage compared to the well-rested Commanders.

Traveling cross-country and across three time zones, the Commanders will face the challenge of being far from home. This longer-than-normal road trip could potentially hurt their chances of winning the game.

The Rams have had a relatively great season, exceeding preseason expectations. With a record of 6-7, they have played some solid football as of late, winning three of their last four games. In contrast, the Commanders have struggled with a record of 4-9 and have lost their last four consecutive games.

The last time these two teams met was in Week 5 of the 2020 season, where the Rams secured a road victory against the Commanders with a score of 30-10. The Commanders will be looking to redeem themselves and put up a stronger offensive performance this time around.

According to the odds, the Rams are favored to win the game, with a 72% chance of victory, while the Commanders have a 28% chance. The spread initially opened at Rams -6 and has since moved to Rams -6.5, indicating a relatively small shift.

As the Commanders face the Rams in this crucial matchup, all eyes will be on their ability to overcome the challenges of fatigue and travel. Can the Rams continue their strong season, or will the Commanders find a way to turn things around? Only time will tell as these two teams battle it out on the field.

Commanders Insights

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Commanders to pass on 66.3% of their chances: the highest rate on the slate this week.
Curtis Samuel's 79.0% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a material gain in his receiving skills over last season's 74.2% mark.
This week, Antonio Gibson is forecasted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs with 0.22 receiving touchdowns.

Rams Insights

The projections expect Royce Freeman to be a much smaller piece of his team's run game in this game (16.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (35.0% in games he has played).
Demarcus Robinson has posted far fewer air yards this season (30.0 per game) than he did last season (43.0 per game).
This year, the formidable Washington Commanders pass defense has allowed the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing TEs: a mere 4.0 YAC.