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Colts vs Bengals Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - December 10th, 2023

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The Colts enter the game on a hot streak, having won four consecutive games. With a record of 7-5, they are having an above-average season and have exceeded expectations so far. In their last game, the Colts secured a 31-28 victory over the Tennessee Titans.

On the other hand, the Bengals have been playing relatively good football lately, winning six of their last ten games. With a record of 6-6, they are having an average season but have underperformed expectations.

When these two teams last met in Week 6 of 2020, the Colts came out victorious with a 31-27 road win. This time around, the Bengals have the slight advantage as the home team, being favored by 3.0 points in the spread.

The Colts will have the benefit of normal rest this week, which may give them an advantage as they will be more rested than their opponent. Meanwhile, the Bengals will have one less day of rest, which could impact their preparation and recovery for the game.

In terms of the odds, the Bengals are considered the favorites, with a -155 moneyline. The Colts, as the underdogs, have a +135 moneyline. Based on the odds, the Bengals have an implied win probability of 59%, while the Colts have a 41% chance of winning.

As the game approaches, football fans and sports bettors alike will be eagerly watching to see if the Colts can continue their winning streak or if the Bengals can capitalize on their home-field advantage and secure a much-needed victory. It's sure to be an exciting Sunday afternoon showdown between these two teams.

Colts Insights

  • Our trusted projections expect Zack Moss to be a more important option in his team's ground game this week (80.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (53.6% in games he has played).

  • Gardner Minshew's 63.2% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a substantial growth in his passing accuracy over last year's 58.0% figure.

Bengals Insights

  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to have 138.0 plays on offense run: the highest number on the slate this week.

  • Tanner Hudson has accrued far more air yards this year (24.0 per game) than he did last year (10.0 per game).

  • In this contest, Joe Mixon is forecasted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 98th percentile among running backs with 0.24 receiving touchdowns.

Betting Trends

  • The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+2.85 Units / 25% ROI)

  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)

  • Alec Pierce has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.50 Units / 39% ROI)

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