Chiefs vs Patriots Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - December 17th, 2023

a year ago

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In a highly anticipated matchup, the Kansas City Chiefs will take on the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET. The Patriots will enjoy 3 extra days of rest, giving them more time to prepare and recover for the game. This could potentially give them an advantage over the Chiefs, who will be playing on normal rest.

The Patriots have had a disappointing season, struggling to meet their preseason expectations. Currently, they hold a record of 3-10. However, their recent performance at home has been particularly poor, as they have lost their last three consecutive home games.

The Chiefs, on the other hand, have an 8-5 record this season. However, they have been on a rough patch lately, losing three out of their last four games. In their last game, they were defeated by the Buffalo Bills with a score of 20-17.

Despite being on the road, the Chiefs are considered the big favorites in this matchup. The odds suggest that they have a 78% chance of winning, while the Patriots have a 22% chance. The initial spread opened at Chiefs -9.5 but has since moved to Chiefs -9, representing a relatively small shift.

As kickoff approaches, football fans and bettors alike eagerly await this clash between the struggling Patriots and the Chiefs, who are aiming to bounce back from their recent setbacks.

Chiefs Insights

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 62.1% of their chances: the 4th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
Patrick Mahomes has passed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (278.0) this season than he did last season (325.0).
In this week's contest, Travis Kelce is forecasted by the projections to secure a spot in the 100th percentile among TEs with 0.44 receiving touchdowns.

Patriots Insights

While Bailey Zappe has received 4.4% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in New England's ground game in this week's game at 12.3%.
Hunter Henry has accrued many more air yards this year (40.0 per game) than he did last year (28.0 per game).
The Chiefs defense has not been good when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 5.19 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 8th-most in the league.