Chargers vs Raiders Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - December 14th, 2023
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The Los Angeles Chargers (5-8) are set to face off against the Las Vegas Raiders (5-8) in a divisional matchup at Allegiant Stadium. This game holds extra significance as both teams will be motivated to secure a victory.
The Chargers will be playing on short rest, having competed just four days ago. This limited preparation time can impact a team's ability to recover and strategize for the next game. Similarly, the Raiders will also be playing on short rest, adding an additional challenge to their preparation.
Both teams have struggled this season, with the Raiders holding a 5-8 record and the Chargers also standing at 5-8. The Raiders have faced a three-game losing streak, while the Chargers have lost four out of their last five games. These recent performances indicate that both teams are in need of a win to turn their seasons around.
In their most recent game, the Chargers suffered a 24-7 defeat against the Denver Broncos. On the other hand, the Raiders faced a tough 3-0 loss against the Minnesota Vikings. These outcomes highlight the need for both teams to regroup and come back stronger in this upcoming matchup.
The last time these two teams met was in Week 4 of the 2023 season, where the Chargers secured a road victory with a final score of 24-17. This previous encounter adds an extra layer of anticipation and rivalry to this game.
According to the odds, the Raiders are considered slight favorites at home, with a spread of -3.0. The Chargers, as the visiting team, are seen as slight underdogs with a spread of +3.0. The moneyline for the Raiders is set at -160, indicating a higher probability of victory, while the Chargers have a moneyline of +140, suggesting a lower chance of winning.
As the game approaches, the Chargers have an implied win probability of 40% based on the odds, while the Raiders have an implied win probability of 60%. These probabilities reflect the expectations set by the betting market.
With both teams looking to improve their records and break their losing streaks, this divisional matchup promises to be a highly competitive and intense game. Football fans and sports bettors alike will be eagerly watching as the Los Angeles Chargers and Las Vegas Raiders battle it out on the field.
Chargers Insights
The Chargers may lean on the pass less in this contest (and call more rushes) given that they be forced to use backup QB Easton Stick.
After totaling 57.0 air yards per game last season, Josh Palmer has been rising this season, now sitting at 69.0 per game.
The Chargers have been among the top passing attacks in the NFL this year (#10 overall), registering an excellent 261.0 adjusted yards per game through the air.
Raiders Insights
The model projects Zamir White to be a more important option in his team's ground game this week (68.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (5.6% in games he has played).
The Chargers linebackers grade out as the 5th-best unit in the league this year in regard to rushing the passer.
Our trusted projections expect Davante Adams to notch 0.47 receiving touchdowns in this game, on balance, putting him in the 94th percentile amongamong WRs.
Betting Trends
The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+4.95 Units / 39% ROI)
The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
Hunter Renfrow has hit the Longest Reception Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.60 Units / 46% ROI)
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