Broncos vs Lions Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - December 16th, 2023

a year ago

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In a highly anticipated Saturday night matchup, the Denver Broncos will face off against the Detroit Lions at Ford Field. The game is set to kick off at 8:15 PM ET, adding to the excitement of this rare Saturday game. With an increased viewership, both teams will feel the pressure to secure a victory.

The Broncos come into this game with a record of 7-6 this season, while the Lions have exceeded expectations with a record of 9-4. Both teams have been playing well in recent weeks, with each winning 7 of their last 10 games. In their previous game, the Broncos pulled off a big upset, defeating the Los Angeles Chargers 24-7. Despite being underdogs with only a 40% chance of winning, the Broncos managed to come out on top. On the other hand, the Lions suffered a loss in their last game against the Chicago Bears, with a final score of 28-13. This loss was considered an upset, as the Lions were favored to win with a 60% chance of success.

The last time these two teams met was in Week 14 of the 2021 season, where the Broncos dominated the Lions with a 38-10 victory. The Broncos' offense was firing on all cylinders, scoring a significant number of points, while the Lions struggled to find the end zone. It was a blowout win for the Broncos, with a 28-point margin of victory.

Heading into this game, the Lions are favored to win at home, with odds suggesting a 67% chance of victory for them. The spread opened with the Lions favored by 4 points and has since moved to Lions -4.5, representing a relatively small shift.

Both teams will be dealing with one less day of rest this week, which could impact their preparation and recovery for the game. Nevertheless, this Saturday night showdown promises to be a thrilling contest between two teams vying for a crucial victory.

Broncos Insights

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are forecasted by the model to call only 61.6 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
As it relates to safeties rushing the passer, Detroit's safety corps has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.
In notching a miserable rate of 206.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year, the 7th-worst passing team in the league has been the Broncos.

Lions Insights

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Josh Reynolds's receiving efficiency has gotten better this season, compiling 11.73 adjusted yards-per-target vs a measly 9.30 figure last season.
The leading projections forecast Amon-Ra St. Brown to accrue 0.58 receiving TDs in this game, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile amongwhen it comes to wideouts.

Betting Trends

The Detroit Lions have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+5.55 Units / 15% ROI)
The Denver Broncos have scored last in 10 of their last 17 games (+1.90 Units / 10% ROI)