Bills vs Chiefs Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - December 10th, 2023

The Chiefs will have the advantage of playing on normal rest this week, giving them a well-deserved break before this crucial matchup. The Bills, on the other hand, are coming off a bye week, which has given them 14 days of rest to prepare for their opponent. Bye weeks often provide teams with extra time to strategize and gameplan, so the Bills will be well-prepared for this clash.

Both teams have had different levels of success this season. The Chiefs boast an impressive 8-4 record, meeting the high expectations set for them. They have been playing solid football lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Bills hold a 6-6 record, which can be considered average. However, they have struggled on the road, losing their last three consecutive away games.

In their previous outings, the Bills suffered a close 37-34 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles, while the Chiefs fell short against the Green Bay Packers with a final score of 27-19. These recent results will surely motivate both teams to put on a strong performance and secure a victory in this matchup.

The last time the Bills and Chiefs faced each other was in Week 6 of the 2022 season, where the Bills emerged victorious on the road with a final score of 24-20. This history adds an extra layer of intrigue to this contest, as both teams will be looking to either avenge their previous loss or continue their winning streak.

In terms of betting odds, the Chiefs are considered slight favorites at home, with a spread of -1.0. The moneyline for the Chiefs stands at -125, indicating an implied win probability of 53%. On the other side, the Bills are slight underdogs on the road, with a moneyline of +105 and an implied win probability of 47%.

As the game approaches, football fans and sports bettors alike will be eagerly anticipating this clash between the Bills and Chiefs. With both teams looking to make their mark and secure a crucial win, this Sunday afternoon showdown promises to be a thrilling battle on the gridiron.

Bills Insights

• Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Buffalo Bills are projected by the model to call just 64.3 total plays in this game: the 10th-fewest on the slate this week.

• The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers grade out as the 5th-best LB corps in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.

• In tallying an outstanding rate of 282.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year, the 3rd-best passing offense in football has been the Buffalo Bills.

Chiefs Insights

• Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 64.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

• Patrick Mahomes has passed for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (276.0) this season than he did last season (325.0).

• Our trusted projections expect Travis Kelce to notch 0.50 receiving TDs in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Betting Trends

• The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)

• Josh Allen has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)