49ers vs Cardinals Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - December 17th, 2023

In a highly anticipated matchup, the San Francisco 49ers will face off against the Arizona Cardinals at State Farm Stadium on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET. This game holds extra significance as both teams are divisional rivals, adding motivation for a victory.

The Cardinals are coming off a bye week, giving them 14 days of rest and extra time to prepare for this game. On the other hand, the 49ers will be playing on normal rest, which may give the Cardinals a slight advantage in terms of rest.

The 49ers have been on a hot streak, winning their last five consecutive games, while the Cardinals have managed to win just one of their last ten matchups. In their previous game, the 49ers secured a victory against the Seattle Seahawks with a 28-16 scoreline, displaying their strong form. The Cardinals also enter this game with a win, having defeated the Pittsburgh Steelers 24-10. The Cardinals' victory was considered a significant upset, as they were 6-point underdogs with only a 29% chance of winning.

This game holds additional significance as it is a revenge match, with the last meeting between these two teams resulting in a 35-16 home win for the 49ers in Week 4 of the season. The 49ers' ability to score many points in that game showcases their offensive prowess.

Despite playing on the road, the 49ers are heavily favored to win this game. The odds currently suggest that the 49ers have an 84% chance of winning, while the Cardinals have a 16% chance. The initial spread opened at 49ers -13.5, but has since moved to 49ers -12, indicating a considerable shift.

As the game approaches, football fans and sports bettors alike eagerly await this matchup between the 49ers and the Cardinals. With the 49ers on a winning streak and the Cardinals seeking redemption, this divisional showdown promises to be an intense battle on the gridiron.

49ers Insights

• The model projects Brandon Aiyuk to be a more important option in his team's passing game near the goal line this week (21.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (14.3% in games he has played).

• The Cardinals safeties rank as the 7th-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

• The projections expect Christian McCaffrey to accumulate 0.36 receiving touchdowns in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 100th percentile among running backs.

Cardinals Insights

• The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

• Kyler Murray's 60.2% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a noteworthy regression in his passing accuracy over last season's 64.5% figure.

• This year, the imposing San Francisco 49ers defense has given up the least yards-after-the-catch in the league to the opposing side: a feeble 4.1 YAC.

Betting Trends

• The Arizona Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 9 games at home (+1.95 Units / 22% ROI)

• The San Francisco 49ers have scored first in 14 of their last 21 games (+2.70 Units / 7% ROI)