Toronto Blue Jays @ Philadelphia Phillies Matchup Preview - September 20th, 2022


The Blue Jays are scheduled to start Ross Stripling (8-4, 2.94 ERA) against Phillies starting pitcher Kyle Gibson (10-6, 4.45 ERA) on Tuesday. Ross Stripling recorded the win in his last outing, as the Blue Jays beat the Rays 5-1. He pitched 6.1 innings allowing 1 earned run with 3 hits. He also recorded 4 strikeouts with 1 walk. The last time Kyle Gibson took the mound, he recorded a win as the Phillies defeated the Marlins 6-1. He finished with 6 IP, 7 K, 0 BB, while allowing 1 earned run on 6 hits. Today, Stripling projects for 4.70 innings pitched with 2.6 ER, 4.9 hits, 4.4 strikeouts, and 1.3 walks, according to THE BAT. Meanwhile, THE BAT projects Gibson's average outcome to be 5.84 IP, 2.8 ER, 5.7 H, 5.1 strikeouts, and 1.7 walks.

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

  • Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Ross Stripling has utilized his off-speed and breaking balls 9.9% more often this season (57.9%) than he did last year (48%).

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

  • Kyle Gibson's fastball velocity has fallen 1.2 mph this year (90.5 mph) below where it was last year (91.7 mph).

  • Nick Maton is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of Toronto (#3-worst of all teams on the slate today).

Betting Trends

  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games (+5.25 Units / 19% ROI)

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 18% ROI)

  • Edmundo Sosa has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+9.65 Units / 21% ROI)