Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Matchup Preview - September 27th, 2022

The Texas Rangers enter the game as the 4th ranked team per The Sharp Model X's Power Rankings and will battle the 19th ranked Mariners at T-Mobile Park. The Rangers rank 1st in MLB in steals and will likely lean on that speed in their attempt to win today. When the Mariners have found success this year, it's been through their bullpen, which ranks 2nd in baseball according to The Sharp Model.

Texas Rangers Insights

• Tyson Miller has been given less leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing 20.1 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than the average hurler.

• The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nathaniel Lowe can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

• The Texas Rangers bullpen projects as the worst in Major League Baseball, per The Sharp Model.

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Robbie Ray has used his slider 6.9% more often this year (37.5%) than he did last year (30.6%).

• Abraham Toro has been unlucky this year, compiling a .243 wOBA despite The Sharp Model X estimating his true talent level to be .302 — a .059 difference.

• Carlos Santana has a high pull rate on his flyballs (38.4% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

Betting Trends

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+12.65 Units / 25% ROI)

• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 61 of their last 112 games (+15.25 Units / 12% ROI)

• Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 55 of his last 87 games (+15.80 Units / 15% ROI)