Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Angels Matchup Preview - September 30th, 2022


Glenn Otto (199th ranked SP via The Sharp Model) is projected to take the mound for Rangers as they battle the Angels and Reid Detmers (143rd ranked SP) at Angel Stadium. The quick scouting report on Otto: his main fastball is a sinker, which he uses 26.5% of the time. His primary out-pitch is a slider (26.8%). Meanwhile, Detmers primarily throws a four-seamer fastball (42.7%) and his most-used secondary offering is his slider (25.2%). The Sharp Model X projects Otto for 2.7 earned runs and 4.0 strikeouts in this matchup. On the other side, Detmers is forecasted for 2.6 earned runs and 6.5 strikeouts.

Texas Rangers Insights

  • Glenn Otto was on point in his last outing and allowed 1 ER.

  • Kole Calhoun has been unlucky with his wOBA this year; his .258 rate is quite a bit lower than his .300 Expected wOBA (based on The Sharp Model X's interpretation of Statcast data).

  • The Texas Rangers bullpen grades out as the 9th-worst in the game, via The Sharp Model.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

  • David Fletcher has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (69% of the time), but he is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.

  • Kurt Suzuki has a high pull rate on his flyballs (39.8% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 10th-deepest LF fences today.

Betting Trends

  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 33 games (+10.95 Units / 27% ROI)

  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.75 Units / 22% ROI)

  • Jared Walsh has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+10.45 Units / 40% ROI)