Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Gaurdians Matchup Preview - September 27th, 2022

Right-hander Corey Kluber is expected to start today for Tampa Bay, while right-hander Shane Bieber gets the nod at home for Cleveland. Kluber enters this contest with a 4.30 ERA, backed up by a 3.60 FIP (which is a better measure of the things a pitcher can control). Bieber, meanwhile, has a 2.87 FIP underlying his 2.81 ERA. The last time Corey Kluber was on the bump, the Rays lost 2-5 versus the Astros. He left allowing 1 earned run and recording 2 strikeouts with 1 walk. Bieber's last start was against the White Sox, when he recorded the win as the Guardians were victorious 4-2. Over 7.2 innings pitched, he allowed 2 earned runs with 7 hits. He also recorded 5 strikeouts with 0 walks.

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

• Corey Kluber has used his cutter 6.5% more often this year (33.8%) than he did last year (27.3%).

• Francisco Mejia's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 89.3-mph EV last season has dropped to 87.2-mph.

• Projected catcher Christian Bethancourt projects as a weak pitch framer, according to The Sharp Model projection system.

Cleveland Gaurdians Insights

• Shane Bieber's fastball velocity has decreased 2 mph this season (90.1 mph) below where it was last year (92.1 mph).

• Andres Gimenez has been lucky this year, notching a .368 wOBA despite The Sharp Model X estimating his true talent level to be .312 — a .056 deviation.

• The Cleveland Guardians bullpen grades out as the 9th-best in the majors, per The Sharp Model.

Betting Trends

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 82 of their last 144 games (+20.25 Units / 11% ROI)

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Run Line in 25 of their last 44 games (+6.25 Units / 11% ROI)

• Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 45 games at home (+13.30 Units / 23% ROI)