St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Matchup Preview - September 27th, 2022

Miles Mikolas (99th ranked SP via The Sharp Model) is projected to take the mound for Cardinals as they battle the Brewers and Adrian Houser (206th ranked SP) at American Family Field. The quick scouting report on Mikolas: his main fastball is a four-seamer, which he uses 27.1% of the time. His primary out-pitch is a slider (25.5%). Meanwhile, Houser primarily throws a sinker (49.1%) and his most-used secondary offering is his slider (13.1%). The Sharp Model X projects Mikolas for 2.9 earned runs and 5.2 strikeouts in this matchup. On the other side, Houser is forecasted for 2.6 earned runs and 3.2 strikeouts.

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Miles Mikolas has been given a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 8.2 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average pitcher.

• Extreme flyball hitters like Paul DeJong usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Adrian Houser.

• Projected catcher Andrew Knizner profiles as a horrible pitch framer, per The Sharp Model projection system.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Adrian Houser has used his sinker 5.1% less often this year (49.1%) than he did last year (54.2%).

• Andrew McCutchen has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (90% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

• The Milwaukee Brewers bullpen projects as the 5th-best in the game, via The Sharp Model.

Betting Trends

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 68 of their last 129 games (+10.90 Units / 8% ROI)

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Run Line in 39 of their last 66 games (+10.55 Units / 13% ROI)

• Jose Quintana has hit the Strikeouts Under in 10 of his last 13 away games (+6.75 Units / 39% ROI)