Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers Matchup Preview - August 14th, 2022

Today's contest between the Rangers and the Mariners pits THE BAT's 108th ranked SP (Logan Gilbert) against the 75th ranked SP (Martin Perez). The rundown on Gilbert tells us that he leans on his four-seamer fastball 54.4% of the time and keeps hitters off balance with a slider (23.9%). Perez is a sinker guy (35.7%) who brings a changeup as his most-trusted secondary offering. Advanced stats (namely, FIP) tell us that Gilbert deserves something like a 3.88 ERA, compared to his actual ERA of 3.47. On that front, Perez's ERA sits at 2.85 and his FIP at 3.24.

Seattle Mariners Insights

• It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Logan Gilbert has gone to his off-speed and breaking balls 7.1% more often this season (45.6%) than he did last year (38.5%).

• J.P. Crawford has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (81% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today.

• The Seattle Mariners bullpen profiles as the best in the game, according to THE BAT.

Texas Rangers Insights

• The Texas Rangers outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best on the slate.

• The Seattle Mariners don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Brad Miller is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game.

• Leody Taveras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 93rd percentile) and faces baseball's 6th-deepest CF fences today.

Betting Trends

• The Texas Rangers have hit the Run Line in 61 of their last 102 games (+18.40 Units / 14% ROI)

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 66 games (+15.95 Units / 20% ROI)

• Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 55 games at home (+10.95 Units / 16% ROI)