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San Francisco Giants vs Arizona Diamondbacks Matchup Preview - September 25th, 2022

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San Francisco Giants Insights

  • The Sharp Model X projects Jakob Junis to throw 78 pitches today (least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

  • Joc Pederson has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.9-mph average to last year's 93.3-mph average.

  • The 16.5% Barrel% of the San Francisco Giants ranks them as the #7 club in the league since the start of last season by this standard.

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

  • Sergio Alcantara has been lucky with his home runs this year; his 15.30 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit higher than his 0.00 Expected HR/600 (based on The Sharp Model X's interpretation of Statcast data).

  • Daulton Varsho has a high pull rate on his flyballs (38.6% — 98th percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

Betting Trends

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Run Line in 42 of their last 75 games at home (+11.95 Units / 14% ROI)

  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.45 Units / 32% ROI)

  • Alex Cobb has hit the Earned Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+7.05 Units / 51% ROI)

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