Pittsburgh Pirates @ Baltimore Orioles Matchup Preview - August 5th, 2022


Pittsburgh's center fielder Bryan Reynolds looks to continue his strong season as he takes on Cedric Mullins and the Orioles. This season Bryan Reynolds is batting .258 with 16 home runs, 44 runs, 34 RBIs, and 3 stolen bases. Today he's projected to bat 5th in the lineup with a THE BAT X projection of .241 Avg, .307 wOBA and .15 HRs. On the Orioles side, Cedric Mullins has shined this year (.260 Avg, 9 HRs, 58 Rs, 45 RBIs, & 23 SBs). He's projected to bat 3rd and THE BAT X projects his average performance today as a .337 wOBA, and .16 HRs.

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights

  • Mitch Keller has added a sinker to his arsenal this year and has thrown it 21% of the time.

  • Ke'Bryan Hayes has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 99.4-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 91.4-mph EV.

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to THE BAT X, and are likely to perform better going forward

Baltimore Orioles Insights

  • Dean Kremer allowed a whopping 6 earned runs in his last outing.

  • Brett Phillips has been unlucky this year, putting up a .214 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .267 — a .053 discrepancy.

  • Baltimore's 91.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs grades them out as the #23 offense in the game since the start of last season by this stat.

Betting Trends

  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Run Line in 68 of their last 104 games (+24.85 Units / 18% ROI)

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 18 away games (+9.70 Units / 49% ROI)

  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 26 games at home (+12.30 Units / 42% ROI)