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Oakland Athletics @ Texas Rangers Matchup Preview - August 15th, 2022

Editor

The Athletics are scheduled to start James Kaprielian (3-6, 4.38 ERA) against Rangers starting pitcher Glenn Otto (4-8, 5.20 ERA) on Monday. James Kaprielian suffered a loss in his last outing, as the Athletics lost to the Angels 1-5. He pitched 5 innings allowing 3 earned runs with 6 hits. He also recorded 6 strikeouts with 3 walks. The last time Glenn Otto took the mound, the Rangers defeated the Astros 8-4. He finished with 5 IP, 5 K, 4 BB, while allowing 2 earned runs on 4 hits. Today, Kaprielian projects for 5.32 innings pitched with 2.9 ER, 5.3 hits, 4.2 strikeouts, and 2 walks, according to THE BAT. Meanwhile, THE BAT projects Otto's average outcome to be 5.98 IP, 2.4 ER, 5.3 H, 4.9 strikeouts, and 2.2 walks.

Oakland Athletics Insights

  • James Kaprielian has been given less leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 5.5 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starting pitcher.

  • Seth Brown is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Texas (#3-best on the slate today).

  • Projected catcher Sean Murphy profiles as a good pitch framer, per THE BAT projection system.

Texas Rangers Insights

  • Glenn Otto has been unlucky this year, posting a 5.20 ERA despite THE BAT estimating his true talent level to be 4.34 — a 0.86 discrepancy.

  • Nathaniel Lowe has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 8.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last 7 days.

Betting Trends

  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Run Line in 62 of their last 105 games (+16.30 Units / 12% ROI)

  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 59 of their last 111 games (+7.20 Units / 6% ROI)

  • Mitch Garver has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.80 Units / 58% ROI)

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