Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Matchup Preview - September 30th, 2022


Gio Urshela and the Twins go head-to-head against Javier Baez and the Tigers today. Over the last 7 days, Gio Urshela has provided the bulk of the offense for Twins. He's batted .524 with 5 runs and 2 RBIs. Meanwhile, it's been Javier Baez who has been hot for the Tigers. Over the last week, he's batting .259 with 5 runs, 5 RBIs, and 2 home runs.

Minnesota Twins Insights

  • Joe Ryan's 2183 rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 24th percentile among starting pitchers.

  • Gary Sanchez has been unlucky with his home runs this year; his 20.00 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit lower than his 31.50 Expected HR/600 (based on The Sharp Model X's interpretation of Statcast data).

  • The Minnesota Twins bullpen grades out as the 4th-best in the majors, according to The Sharp Model.

Detroit Tigers Insights

  • Tyler Alexander has averaged 13.9 outs per outing this year, checking in at the 9th percentile.

  • Victor Reyes has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (73% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.

  • Ryan Kreidler hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and faces baseball's 2nd-deepest CF fences today.

Betting Trends

  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.20 Units / 7% ROI)

  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 61 away games (+6.55 Units / 10% ROI)

  • Jermaine Palacios has hit the Hits Under in his last 8 games (+8.30 Units / 91% ROI)