Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Matchup Preview - September 30th, 2022
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Gio Urshela and the Twins go head-to-head against Javier Baez and the Tigers today. Over the last 7 days, Gio Urshela has provided the bulk of the offense for Twins. He's batted .524 with 5 runs and 2 RBIs. Meanwhile, it's been Javier Baez who has been hot for the Tigers. Over the last week, he's batting .259 with 5 runs, 5 RBIs, and 2 home runs.
Minnesota Twins Insights
Joe Ryan's 2183 rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 24th percentile among starting pitchers.
Gary Sanchez has been unlucky with his home runs this year; his 20.00 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit lower than his 31.50 Expected HR/600 (based on The Sharp Model X's interpretation of Statcast data).
The Minnesota Twins bullpen grades out as the 4th-best in the majors, according to The Sharp Model.
Detroit Tigers Insights
Tyler Alexander has averaged 13.9 outs per outing this year, checking in at the 9th percentile.
Victor Reyes has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (73% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.
Ryan Kreidler hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and faces baseball's 2nd-deepest CF fences today.
Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.20 Units / 7% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 61 away games (+6.55 Units / 10% ROI)
Jermaine Palacios has hit the Hits Under in his last 8 games (+8.30 Units / 91% ROI)
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