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Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals Matchup Preview - September 20th, 2022


Tuesday evening the Minnesota Twins battle against the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium. The Twins offense will be led by Luis Arraez, who ranks as the #35th-best hitter in baseball according to THE BAT X. Given Luis Arraez's profile and today's matchup specifics, THE BAT X expects him to average a .363 wOBA, .300 AVG, and .19 HRs. On the other side, Bobby Witt Jr. (THE BAT X's #58th hitter in MLB) will bolster the Royals lineup. He projects for a .362 wOBA, .286 AVG, and .15 HRs.

Minnesota Twins Insights

  • Dylan Bundy's fastball velocity has dropped 1.4 mph this season (88.7 mph) below where it was last year (90.1 mph).

  • THE BAT X projects Luis Arraez as the 2nd-best batter in the majors when it comes to his batting average talent.

  • The Minnesota Twins bullpen grades out as the 6th-best in the game, via THE BAT.

Kansas City Royals Insights

  • Hunter Dozier has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (58% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.

  • Nicky Lopez has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.7%) and will be challenged by the league's 5th-deepest LF fences today.

Betting Trends

  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+2.00 Units / 14% ROI)

  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 53 games (+5.50 Units / 9% ROI)

  • Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 32 games at home (+8.55 Units / 26% ROI)


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