Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals Matchup Preview - August 14th, 2022

The Milwaukee Brewers enter the game as the 20th ranked team per THE BAT X's Power Rankings and will battle the 18th ranked Cardinals at Busch Stadium. The Brewers rank 4th in MLB in home runs and will likely lean on that power in their attempt to win today. When the Cardinals have found success this year, it's been through their bullpen, which ranks 5th in baseball according to THE BAT.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Aaron Ashby (50.9% GB% via THE BAT projections) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 3 FB hitters in St. Louis's projected batting order.

• Luis Urias has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (57% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.

• Victor Caratini hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Miles Mikolas has a reverse platoon split and has the misfortune of facing 6 same-handed hitters today.

• Paul DeJong has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.4-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 89.7-mph EV.

• Projected catcher Andrew Knizner projects as a horrible pitch framer, via THE BAT projection system.

Betting Trends

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.25 Units / 22% ROI)

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+14.40 Units / 16% ROI)

• Dylan Carlson has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+8.75 Units / 40% ROI)