Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Matchup Preview - September 27th, 2022

Miami's first baseman Garrett Cooper looks to continue his strong season as he takes on Pete Alonso and the Mets. This season Garrett Cooper is batting .260 with 9 home runs, 37 runs, and 50 RBIs. Today he's projected to bat 6th in the lineup with a The Sharp Model X projection of .236 Avg, .273 wOBA and .08 HRs. On the Mets side, Pete Alonso has shined this year (.270 Avg, 39 HRs, 90 Rs, 128 RBIs, & 5 SBs). He's projected to bat 4th and The Sharp Model X projects his average performance today as a .326 wOBA, and .17 HRs.

Miami Marlins Insights

• Pablo Lopez has used his four-seamer 7.5% more often this year (38.7%) than he did last year (31.2%).

• Miguel Rojas has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (68% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

• The Miami Marlins bullpen grades out as the 10th-worst in MLB, per The Sharp Model.

New York Mets Insights

• The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst of all teams today.

• Mark Canha's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 91.8-mph EV last season has decreased to 89.3-mph.

• Tomas Nido hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.3% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences today.

Betting Trends

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+11.15 Units / 28% ROI)

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 60 of their last 86 games (+30.10 Units / 29% ROI)

• Mark Canha has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.45 Units / 44% ROI)