Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Matchup Preview - September 29th, 2022

The Miami Marlins enter the game as the 2nd ranked team per The Sharp Model X's Power Rankings and will battle the 13th ranked Brewers at American Family Field. The Marlins rank 2nd in MLB in steals and will likely lean on that speed in their attempt to win today. When the Brewers have found success this year, it's been through their power. They rank 3rd in baseball in home runs.

Miami Marlins Insights

• The Milwaukee Brewers have 8 bats in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Braxton Garrett in this game, which is especially precarious given his large platoon split.

• Bryan De La Cruz has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90-mph average to last year's 95.6-mph mark.

• The Miami Marlins have been the 4th-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to The Sharp Model X, and are likely to perform worse in future games

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Eric Lauer’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 starts (2236 rpm) has been quite a bit lower than than his seasonal rate (2295 rpm).

• Omar Narvaez is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Miami (#2-worst of all teams today).

• The 15.3% Barrel% of the Milwaukee Brewers makes them the #10 team in the majors since the start of last season by this standard.

Betting Trends

• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 32 away games (+3.40 Units / 8% ROI)

• Hunter Renfroe has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 46 games (+9.05 Units / 19% ROI)