Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Matchup Preview - September 29th, 2022

Will Smith and the Dodgers go head-to-head against Manny Machado and the Padres today. Over the last 7 days, Will Smith has provided the bulk of the offense for Dodgers. He's batted .308 with 2 runs, 2 RBIs, and 1 home runs. Meanwhile, it's been Manny Machado who has been hot for the Padres. Over the last week, he's batting .348 with 6 runs, 7 RBIs, 2 home runs, and 2 stolen bases.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the best of all teams today.

• Hanser Alberto's average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 86.9-mph mark last year has decreased to 82.6-mph.

• Joey Gallo has a high pull rate on his flyballs (41.1% — 100th percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 6th-deepest RF fences today.

San Diego Padres Insights

• Given that flyball pitchers are most effective against flyball hitters, Steven Wilson (42% FB% per The Sharp Model projections) is well-situated in this matchup with 5 FB hitters in the opposition's projected lineup.

• Josh Bell is an extreme groundball hitter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Los Angeles (#3-best on the slate).

• The San Diego Padres projected batting order profiles as the 3rd-best on the slate today.

Betting Trends

• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+4.20 Units / 12% ROI)

• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.10 Units / 14% ROI)

• Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 52 of his last 77 away games (+13.05 Units / 11% ROI)