Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox Matchup Preview - August 14th, 2022

Tyler Alexander (282nd ranked SP via THE BAT) is projected to take the mound for Tigers as they battle the White Sox and Lance Lynn (42nd ranked SP) at Guaranteed Rate Field. The quick scouting report on Alexander: his main fastball is a cut-fastball, which he uses 25.0% of the time. His primary out-pitch is a changeup (19.5%). Meanwhile, Lynn primarily throws a four-seamer fastball (41.8%) and his most-used secondary offering is his cut-fastball (22.2%). THE BAT X projects Alexander for 2.8 earned runs and 3.3 strikeouts in this matchup. On the other side, Lynn is forecasted for 2.5 earned runs and 6.9 strikeouts.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst of the day.

• The Chicago White Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Harold Castro stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

• Miguel Cabrera has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Lance Lynn has been given a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 7.5 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starter.

• Leury Garcia has been unlucky this year, compiling a .227 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .280 — a .053 discrepancy.

• The Chicago White Sox have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to THE BAT X, and are likely to perform better the rest of the season

Betting Trends

• The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+11.55 Units / 19% ROI)

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 55 of their last 99 games (+18.00 Units / 16% ROI)

• Seby Zavala has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.40 Units / 32% ROI)