Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants Matchup Preview - September 29th, 2022

Colorado's first baseman C.J. Cron looks to continue his strong season as he takes on Thairo Estrada and the Giants. This season C.J. Cron is batting .263 with 29 home runs, 78 runs, and 101 RBIs. Today he's projected to bat 7th in the lineup with a The Sharp Model X projection of .192 Avg, .252 wOBA and .06 HRs. On the Giants side, Thairo Estrada has shined this year (.266 Avg, 14 HRs, 69 Rs, 61 RBIs, & 19 SBs). He's projected to bat 5th and The Sharp Model X projects his average performance today as a .321 wOBA, and .10 HRs.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Ryan Feltner has relied on his fastball a lot this year, though: 56.1% of the time, checking in at the 83rd percentile.

• Sean Bouchard is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of San Francisco (#1-worst of all teams on the slate).

• Yonathan Daza has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Carlos Rodon’s fastball velocity over his last 3 starts (94 mph) has been a significant dropoff from than his seasonal rate (95 mph).

• Austin Slater has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.

• The San Francisco Giants (23.7 K%, per The Sharp Model X) project to have the 5th-most strikeout-heavy lineup today.

Betting Trends

• The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 45 of their last 77 games at home (+11.60 Units / 13% ROI)

• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.50 Units / 15% ROI)

• Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+13.05 Units / 87% ROI)