Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers Matchup Preview - October 5th, 2022
Editor
Left-hander Austin Gomber is expected to start today for Colorado, while left-hander Clayton Kershaw gets the nod at home for Los Angeles. Gomber enters this contest with a 5.62 ERA, backed up by a 4.51 FIP (which is a better measure of the things a pitcher can control). Kershaw, meanwhile, has a 2.56 FIP underlying his 2.30 ERA. The last time Austin Gomber was on the bump, the Rockies lost 3-8 versus the Pirates. He left allowing 2 earned runs and recording 5 strikeouts with 2 walks. Kershaw's last start was against the Rockies, when he recorded the win as the Dodgers were victorious 10-1. Over 6 innings pitched, he allowed 0 earned runs with 5 hits. He also recorded 4 strikeouts with 2 walks.
Colorado Rockies Insights
The Sharp Model X expects Austin Gomber to be limited in this game, projecting a maximum of 74 pitches.
The Sharp Model X projects Jose Iglesias in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
The Colorado Rockies projected batting order today (.287 projected wOBA via The Sharp Model X) projects quite a bit worse than their .310 wOBA this year.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
The Colorado Rockies have 8 hitters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage over Clayton Kershaw in this matchup, which is especially problematic given his large platoon split.
Miguel Vargas has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (91% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.
The Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen profiles as the best in the game, per The Sharp Model.
Betting Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.60 Units / 78% ROI)
The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.65 Units / 8% ROI)
Max Muncy has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.65 Units / 44% ROI)
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