Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals Matchup Preview - August 16th, 2022


The Rockies are scheduled to start Kyle Freeland (7-8, 4.84 ERA) against Cardinals starting pitcher Jose Quintana (4-5, 3.37 ERA) on Tuesday. Kyle Freeland suffered a loss in his last outing, as the Rockies lost to the Cardinals 5-9. He pitched 4.1 innings allowing 6 earned runs with 10 hits. He also recorded 1 strikeout with 2 walks. The last time Jose Quintana took the mound, he recorded a win as the Cardinals defeated the Rockies 9-5. He finished with 6 IP, 6 K, 2 BB, while allowing 2 earned runs on 7 hits. Today, Freeland projects for 5.97 innings pitched with 2.8 ER, 5.9 hits, 4.0 strikeouts, and 1.9 walks, according to THE BAT. Meanwhile, THE BAT projects Quintana's average outcome to be 6.15 IP, 2.2 ER, 5.5 H, 5.4 strikeouts, and 1.7 walks.

Colorado Rockies Insights

  • Kyle Freeland has used his sinker 5.2% more often this season (21%) than he did last year (15.8%).

  • Wynton Bernard is an extreme groundball batter and matches up with the strong infield defense of St. Louis (#1-best on the slate).

  • Brendan Rodgers has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.4%) and will be challenged by baseball's 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

  • The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense projects as the best on the slate.

  • Tommy Edman has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (78% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today.

  • The St. Louis Cardinals projected batting order today (.304 projected wOBA according to THE BAT X) projects quite a bit worse than their .320 wOBA this year.

Betting Trends

  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Run Line in 29 of their last 47 games at home (+14.50 Units / 26% ROI)

  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Run Line in 40 of their last 69 games (+10.25 Units / 13% ROI)

  • Dylan Carlson has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.55 Units / 40% ROI)