Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres Matchup Preview - August 2nd, 2022


The Rockies are scheduled to start Jose Urena (1-3, 4.67 ERA) against Padres starting pitcher Reiss Knehr (0-0, 0.00 ERA) on Tuesday. Jose Urena suffered a loss in his last outing, as the Rockies lost to the Dodgers 0-13. He pitched 3 innings allowing 7 earned runs with 8 hits. He also recorded 2 strikeouts with 3 walks. The last time Reiss Knehr took the mound, he recorded a loss as the Padres got beat by the Giants 4-11. He finished with 3 IP, 2 K, 2 BB, while allowing 2 earned runs on 3 hits. Today, Urena projects for 6.19 innings pitched with 3.1 ER, 6.4 hits, 3.8 strikeouts, and 2.3 walks, according to THE BAT. Meanwhile, THE BAT projects Knehr's average outcome to be 5.00 IP, 2.4 ER, 4.8 H, 4.0 strikeouts, and 1.6 walks.

Colorado Rockies Insights

  • THE BAT X projects Jose Urena to throw 102 pitches today (3rd-most of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

  • THE BAT X projects Yonathan Daza in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

  • The Colorado Rockies have been the 7th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to THE BAT X, and are likely to perform worse in future games

San Diego Padres Insights

  • Reiss Knehr has a reverse platoon split and has the misfortune of facing 7 same-handed batters today.

  • Jorge Alfaro has a ton of pop (80th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (32.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jose Urena is a pitch-to-contact type (7th percentile K%) — great news for Alfaro.

Betting Trends

  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 39 of their last 71 games (+11.80 Units / 15% ROI)

  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Run Line in 35 of their last 58 games (+11.75 Units / 17% ROI)

  • CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.45 Units / 49% ROI)