Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers Matchup Preview - August 5th, 2022


Joey Votto and the Reds go head-to-head against Kolten Wong and the Brewers today. Over the last 7 days, Joey Votto has provided the bulk of the offense for Reds. He's batted .368 with 3 runs, 4 RBIs, and 2 home runs. Meanwhile, it's been Kolten Wong who has been hot for the Brewers. Over the last week, he's batting .429 with 4 runs, 4 RBIs, 1 home runs, and 1 stolen bases.

Cincinnati Reds Insights

  • The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 4th-best of all teams on the slate.

  • Mike Moustakas has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (66% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.

  • Today’s version of the Reds projected lineup is a bit watered down, as their .256 THE BAT X wOBA is considerably below their .300 overall projected rate.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

  • THE BAT X projects Eric Lauer to throw 104 pitches in this game (3rd-most of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

  • Hunter Renfroe has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.7-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 90.4-mph average.

  • The 13.4% Barrel% of the Milwaukee Brewers makes them the #10 group of hitters in the game since the start of last season by this standard.

Betting Trends

  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 57 of their last 104 games (+13.50 Units / 12% ROI)

  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 74 games (+13.40 Units / 16% ROI)

  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.80 Units / 56% ROI)