Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins Matchup Preview - September 29th, 2022

Thursday the Chicago White Sox (77-79) will battle the Minnesota Twins (76-80). Oddsmakers think this is a even matchup, as both the White Sox and the Twins have an implied win probablity of 50%. Based on the current odds the White Sox have an implied team total of 4.00 compared to 4.00 for the Twins.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Lucas Giolito has utilized his change-up 6.6% less often this year (25.1%) than he did last year (31.7%).

• Yasmani Grandal has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (58% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.

• Chicago's 89.1-mph average exit velocity since the start of last season is one of the best in the majors: #7 overall.

Minnesota Twins Insights

• The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the 4th-best of all teams on the slate today.

• Jake Cave has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87-mph average to last season's 90.7-mph figure.

• Luis Arraez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and will be challenged by MLB's 11th-deepest LF fences today.

Betting Trends

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.20 Units / 51% ROI)

• The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.20 Units / 13% ROI)

• Gavin Sheets has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.55 Units / 29% ROI)