Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds Matchup Preview - August 14th, 2022

Chicago Cubs Insights

• Keegan Thompson has averaged 14 outs per outing this year, ranking in the 16th percentile.

• Extreme groundball batters like Willson Contreras usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Justin Dunn.

• The Chicago Cubs (24.6 K%, per THE BAT X) project to have the 3rd-most strikeout-heavy lineup today.

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Justin Dunn has been lucky since the start of last season, putting up a 3.92 ERA despite THE BAT estimating his true talent level to be 5.35 — a 1.43 discrepancy.

• Nick Senzel has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (67% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.

• The Cincinnati Reds bullpen projects as the 3rd-worst in the league, per THE BAT.

Betting Trends

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 79 games (+6.95 Units / 8% ROI)

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 63 games (+9.85 Units / 14% ROI)

• Marcus Stroman has hit the Strikeouts Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.15 Units / 36% ROI)