Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays Matchup Preview - August 15th, 2022

The Orioles are scheduled to start Kyle Bradish (1-4, 6.42 ERA) against Blue Jays starting pitcher Yusei Kikuchi (4-6, 5.13 ERA) on Monday. In Kyle Bradish's last outing, the Orioles won 6-5 against the Blue Jays. He pitched 5.1 innings allowing 3 earned runs with 5 hits. He also recorded 4 strikeouts with 2 walks. The last time Yusei Kikuchi took the mound, he recorded a loss as the Blue Jays got beat by the Orioles 4-7. He finished with 5 IP, 4 K, 3 BB, while allowing 5 earned runs on 6 hits. Today, Bradish projects for 4.66 innings pitched with 2.8 ER, 5.1 hits, 4.0 strikeouts, and 1.5 walks, according to THE BAT. Meanwhile, THE BAT projects Kikuchi's average outcome to be 5.34 IP, 2.4 ER, 4.7 H, 5.9 strikeouts, and 1.9 walks.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Kyle Bradish's 94.1 mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 79th percentile among SPs.

• Rougned Odor is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Toronto (#3-worst of the day).

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Yusei Kikuchi has been given less leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing 10.9 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than the average pitcher.

• Whit Merrifield has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (89% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

• Bo Bichette has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and will be challenged by the league's 8th-deepest RF fences today.

Betting Trends

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 70 games (+21.75 Units / 29% ROI)

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 101 games (+25.45 Units / 24% ROI)

• Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 22 games at home (+7.75 Units / 35% ROI)