Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays Matchup Preview - August 14th, 2022

Jordan Lyles (273rd ranked SP via THE BAT) is projected to take the mound for Orioles as they battle the Rays and Drew Rasmussen (86th ranked SP) at Tropicana Field. The quick scouting report on Lyles: his main fastball is a four-seamer, which he uses 33.8% of the time. His primary out-pitch is a slider (24.9%). Meanwhile, Rasmussen primarily throws a four-seamer fastball (36.5%) and his most-used secondary offering is his cut-fastball (33.2%). THE BAT X projects Lyles for 3.2 earned runs and 5.3 strikeouts in this matchup. On the other side, Rasmussen is forecasted for 2.2 earned runs and 5.0 strikeouts.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Jordan Lyles has used his sinker 7.4% more often this season (16.5%) than he did last season (9.1%).

• Brett Phillips has been unlucky this year, compiling a .215 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .265 — a .050 disparity.

• Rougned Odor has a high pull rate on his flyballs (37.6% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

• Drew Rasmussen's fastball velocity has fallen 1 mph this season (94.8 mph) below where it was last year (95.8 mph).

• Francisco Mejia has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (88% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

• The Tampa Bay Rays (25.3 K%, per THE BAT X) project to have the most strikeout-heavy lineup today.

Betting Trends

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 57 games (+6.00 Units / 10% ROI)

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Run Line in 55 of their last 78 games (+27.95 Units / 27% ROI)

• Ryan McKenna has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+7.35 Units / 24% ROI)