Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Matchup Preview - September 27th, 2022
Editor
Tuesday evening the Atlanta Braves battle against the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. The Braves offense will be led by Austin Riley, who ranks as the #9th-best hitter in baseball according to The Sharp Model X. Given Austin Riley's profile and today's matchup specifics, The Sharp Model X expects him to average a .375 wOBA, .271 AVG, and .28 HRs. On the other side, Luke Voit (The Sharp Model X's #122nd hitter in MLB) will bolster the Nationals lineup. He projects for a .322 wOBA, .218 AVG, and .18 HRs.
Atlanta Braves Insights
Kyle Muller's 2429 rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season ranks in the 91st percentile among SPs.
Robbie Grossman has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (54% of the time), but he is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.
Projected catcher Travis d'Arnaud grades out as a good pitch framer, via The Sharp Model projection system.
Washington Nationals Insights
Paolo Espino has been given a shorter leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing 11.6 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starter.
Cesar Hernandez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 91.2-mph mark last season has dropped to 84.3-mph.
The Washington Nationals bullpen grades out as the 2nd-worst in Major League Baseball, per The Sharp Model.
Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 41 games (+9.55 Units / 21% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 79 of their last 116 games (+24.10 Units / 11% ROI)
Nelson Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 30 games at home (+12.05 Units / 24% ROI)
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