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Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Matchup Preview - September 27th, 2022

Editor

Tuesday evening the Atlanta Braves battle against the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. The Braves offense will be led by Austin Riley, who ranks as the #9th-best hitter in baseball according to The Sharp Model X. Given Austin Riley's profile and today's matchup specifics, The Sharp Model X expects him to average a .375 wOBA, .271 AVG, and .28 HRs. On the other side, Luke Voit (The Sharp Model X's #122nd hitter in MLB) will bolster the Nationals lineup. He projects for a .322 wOBA, .218 AVG, and .18 HRs.

Atlanta Braves Insights

  • Kyle Muller's 2429 rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season ranks in the 91st percentile among SPs.

  • Robbie Grossman has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (54% of the time), but he is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.

  • Projected catcher Travis d'Arnaud grades out as a good pitch framer, via The Sharp Model projection system.

Washington Nationals Insights

  • Paolo Espino has been given a shorter leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing 11.6 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starter.

  • Cesar Hernandez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 91.2-mph mark last season has dropped to 84.3-mph.

  • The Washington Nationals bullpen grades out as the 2nd-worst in Major League Baseball, per The Sharp Model.

Betting Trends

  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 41 games (+9.55 Units / 21% ROI)

  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 79 of their last 116 games (+24.10 Units / 11% ROI)

  • Nelson Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 30 games at home (+12.05 Units / 24% ROI)

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