Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Matchup Preview - September 22nd, 2022


Right-hander Zac Gallen is expected to start today for Arizona, while left-hander Julio Urias gets the nod at home for Los Angeles. Gallen enters this contest with a 2.52 ERA, backed up by a 3.03 FIP (which is a better measure of the things a pitcher can control). Urias, meanwhile, has a 3.71 FIP underlying his 2.27 ERA. The last time Zac Gallen was on the bump, he suffered the loss as the D-Backs lost 0-2 against the Padres. He left allowing 2 earned runs and recording 4 strikeouts with 3 walks. Urias's last start was against the Giants, when he recorded the win as the Dodgers were victorious 7-2. Over 6 innings pitched, he allowed 1 earned run with 5 hits. He also recorded 8 strikeouts with 1 walk.

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

  • Zac Gallen has gone to his curveball 8.3% more often this year (20.9%) than he did last season (12.6%).

  • Sergio Alcantara has been lucky with his home runs this year; his 16.00 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit higher than his 0.00 Expected HR/600 (based on The Sharp Model X's interpretation of Statcast data).

  • Daulton Varsho has a high pull rate on his flyballs (38.8% — 98th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 9th-deepest RF fences today.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

  • Julio Urias's fastball velocity has fallen 1.4 mph this year (92.2 mph) below where it was last season (93.6 mph).

  • Chris Taylor has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (84% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers projected lineup grades out as the best of all teams today.

Betting Trends

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 38 of their last 67 games (+12.40 Units / 17% ROI)

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 53 of their last 76 games (+32.75 Units / 38% ROI)

  • Jordan Luplow has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.75 Units / 35% ROI)