Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Matchup Preview - September 22nd, 2022
Right-hander Zac Gallen is expected to start today for Arizona, while left-hander Julio Urias gets the nod at home for Los Angeles. Gallen enters this contest with a 2.52 ERA, backed up by a 3.03 FIP (which is a better measure of the things a pitcher can control). Urias, meanwhile, has a 3.71 FIP underlying his 2.27 ERA. The last time Zac Gallen was on the bump, he suffered the loss as the D-Backs lost 0-2 against the Padres. He left allowing 2 earned runs and recording 4 strikeouts with 3 walks. Urias's last start was against the Giants, when he recorded the win as the Dodgers were victorious 7-2. Over 6 innings pitched, he allowed 1 earned run with 5 hits. He also recorded 8 strikeouts with 1 walk.
Arizona Diamondbacks Insights
Zac Gallen has gone to his curveball 8.3% more often this year (20.9%) than he did last season (12.6%).
Sergio Alcantara has been lucky with his home runs this year; his 16.00 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit higher than his 0.00 Expected HR/600 (based on The Sharp Model X's interpretation of Statcast data).
Daulton Varsho has a high pull rate on his flyballs (38.8% — 98th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 9th-deepest RF fences today.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
Julio Urias's fastball velocity has fallen 1.4 mph this year (92.2 mph) below where it was last season (93.6 mph).
Chris Taylor has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (84% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.
The Los Angeles Dodgers projected lineup grades out as the best of all teams today.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 38 of their last 67 games (+12.40 Units / 17% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 53 of their last 76 games (+32.75 Units / 38% ROI)
Jordan Luplow has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.75 Units / 35% ROI)